What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Netflix movie ranking on Kalshi

If Carolina Caroline is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie on the chart published on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Netflix.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will The Day After Tomorrow be Top US Netflix Movie on Nov 9, 2026? · The Day After Tomorrow	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	29,926	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will A Dog's Perfect Christmas be Top US Netflix Movie on Nov 9, 2026? · A Dog's Perfect Christmas	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	28,794	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Surviving Hurricane Otis be Top US Netflix Movie on Nov 9, 2026? · Surviving Hurricane Otis	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	12,786	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Animals be Top US Netflix Movie on Nov 9, 2026? · Animals	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	9,560	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Don't Trust the Couple Upstairs be Top US Netflix Movie on Nov 9, 2026? · Don't Trust the Couple Upstairs	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,729	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Twilight be Top US Netflix Movie on Nov 9, 2026? · Twilight	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,693	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Collision Course be Top US Netflix Movie on Nov 9, 2026? · Collision Course	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,591	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Gladiator II be Top US Netflix Movie on Nov 9, 2026? · Gladiator II	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,531	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will KPop Demon Hunters be Top US Netflix Movie on Nov 9, 2026? · KPop Demon Hunters	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,428	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Carolina Caroline be Top US Netflix Movie on Nov 9, 2026? · Carolina Caroline	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,176	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Hubie Halloween be Top US Netflix Movie on Nov 9, 2026? · Hubie Halloween	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	951	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Champions be Top US Netflix Movie on Nov 9, 2026? · Champions	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	809	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.