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Women's College Basketball Win Totals on Kalshi
If the LSU women's college basketball team has at least 27 wins in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
93%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
14% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
| 93¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $0.24 | 93.5% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Texas women's college basketball team win at least 27 games this season? · 27+ wins | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 311 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the South Carolina women's college basketball team win at least 27 games this season? · 27+ wins | 79¢ | 79% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 79 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the LSU women's college basketball team win at least 18 games this season? · 18+ wins | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 50 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the LSU women's college basketball team win at least 15 games this season? · 15+ wins | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 50 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas women's college basketball team win at least 15 games this season? · 15+ wins | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 50 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UConn women's college basketball team win at least 21 games this season? · 21+ wins | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 50 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UConn women's college basketball team win at least 18 games this season? · 18+ wins | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 50 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UConn women's college basketball team win at least 15 games this season? · 15+ wins | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 50 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the USC women's college basketball team win at least 15 games this season? · 15+ wins | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 50 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the South Carolina women's college basketball team win at least 18 games this season? · 18+ wins | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 50 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the South Carolina women's college basketball team win at least 15 games this season? · 15+ wins | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 50 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the LSU women's college basketball team win at least 24 games this season? · 24+ wins | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 44 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the LSU women's college basketball team win at least 21 games this season? · 21+ wins | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 40 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UCLA women's college basketball team win at least 24 games this season? · 24+ wins | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 11 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the USC women's college basketball team win at least 27 games this season? · 27+ wins | 83¢ | 83% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 6 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UCLA women's college basketball team win at least 21 games this season? · 21+ wins | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 6 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UCLA women's college basketball team win at least 18 games this season? · 18+ wins | 81¢ | 81% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 5 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the LSU women's college basketball team win at least 27 games this season? · 27+ wins | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas women's college basketball team win at least 24 games this season? · 24+ wins | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas women's college basketball team win at least 21 games this season? · 21+ wins | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas women's college basketball team win at least 18 games this season? · 18+ wins | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UConn women's college basketball team win at least 27 games this season? · 27+ wins | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UConn women's college basketball team win at least 24 games this season? · 24+ wins | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the USC women's college basketball team win at least 24 games this season? · 24+ wins | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the USC women's college basketball team win at least 21 games this season? · 21+ wins | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the USC women's college basketball team win at least 18 games this season? · 18+ wins | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UCLA women's college basketball team win at least 27 games this season? · 27+ wins | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UCLA women's college basketball team win at least 15 games this season? · 15+ wins | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the South Carolina women's college basketball team win at least 24 games this season? · 24+ wins | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the South Carolina women's college basketball team win at least 21 games this season? · 21+ wins | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Apr 08, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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