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West Coast Conference Tournament on Kalshi

If the San Diego men's college basketball team are the 2027 West Coast Conference tournament champions, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
8% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
4¢ (now)0.3¢$3.364.3%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Santa Clara be the 2027 West Coast Conference tournament champions? · Santa Clara29¢29%1.4¢—57%781Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Saint Mary's be the 2027 West Coast Conference tournament champions? · Saint Mary's41¢41%1.7¢—82%494Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Seattle be the 2027 West Coast Conference tournament champions? · Seattle5¢5%0.3¢—9%56Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will San Diego be the 2027 West Coast Conference tournament champions? · San Diego2¢2%0.2¢—5%20Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Portland be the 2027 West Coast Conference tournament champions? · Portland2¢2%0.2¢—5%20Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Pepperdine be the 2027 West Coast Conference tournament champions? · Pepperdine3¢3%0.2¢—7%20Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Pacific be the 2027 West Coast Conference tournament champions? · Pacific4¢4%0.3¢—9%20Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Loyola Marymount be the 2027 West Coast Conference tournament champions? · Loyola Marymount4¢4%0.3¢—8%20Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will San Francisco be the 2027 West Coast Conference tournament champions? · San Francisco3¢3%0.2¢—7%0Mar 28, 21:00 UTC
Will Denver be the 2027 West Coast Conference tournament champions? · Denver2¢2%0.1¢—4%0Mar 28, 21:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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