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Conference USA Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If the Western Kentucky men's college basketball team are the 2027 Conference USA conference tournament champions, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
16% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.22 | 8.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liberty be the 2027 Conference USA conference tournament champions? · Liberty | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 510 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Florida International be the 2027 Conference USA conference tournament champions? · Florida International | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 44 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Jacksonville St. be the 2027 Conference USA conference tournament champions? · Jacksonville St. | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 15 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Missouri St. be the 2027 Conference USA conference tournament champions? · Missouri St. | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 5 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Western Kentucky be the 2027 Conference USA conference tournament champions? · Western Kentucky | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Sam Houston be the 2027 Conference USA conference tournament champions? · Sam Houston | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will New Mexico St. be the 2027 Conference USA conference tournament champions? · New Mexico St. | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Middle Tennessee be the 2027 Conference USA conference tournament champions? · Middle Tennessee | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Kennesaw St. be the 2027 Conference USA conference tournament champions? · Kennesaw St. | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Delaware be the 2027 Conference USA conference tournament champions? · Delaware | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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