Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Men's College Basketball Spread on Kalshi
If BYU wins by more than 50.5 points in the Queens University vs BYU men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
27%
Median YES price across 725 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
54% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27¢ (now) | 1.4¢ | $2.56 | 28.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke wins by over 7.5 points · Duke wins by over 7.5 points | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 31,625 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Duke wins by over 6.5 points · Duke wins by over 6.5 points | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 25,396 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Illinois wins by over 2.5 points · Illinois wins by over 2.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 14,760 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Wisconsin wins by over 23.5 points · Wisconsin wins by over 23.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 13,307 | Nov 13, 01:30 UTC |
| Illinois wins by over 1.5 points · Illinois wins by over 1.5 points | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 8,275 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Northern Iowa wins by over 3.5 points · Northern Iowa wins by over 3.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 6,615 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Kansas wins by over 4.5 points · Kansas wins by over 4.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 3,322 | Nov 13, 02:30 UTC |
| Florida wins by over 9.5 points · Florida wins by over 9.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 2,929 | Nov 12, 23:00 UTC |
| Florida wins by over 10.5 points · Florida wins by over 10.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 2,733 | Nov 12, 23:00 UTC |
| Vanderbilt wins by over 16.5 points · Vanderbilt wins by over 16.5 points | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 2,459 | Nov 13, 00:15 UTC |
| Fresno St. wins by over 6.5 points · Fresno St. wins by over 6.5 points | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 2,233 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Xavier wins by over 6.5 points · Xavier wins by over 6.5 points | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 2,044 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Duke wins by over 5.5 points · Duke wins by over 5.5 points | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 1,973 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Central Michigan wins by over 2.5 points · Central Michigan wins by over 2.5 points | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 1,858 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Duke wins by over 13.5 points · Duke wins by over 13.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 1,821 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Illinois wins by over 3.5 points · Illinois wins by over 3.5 points | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 1,800 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Arizona St. wins by over 15.5 points · Arizona St. wins by over 15.5 points | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 1,755 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| TCU wins by over 33.5 points · TCU wins by over 33.5 points | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 1,549 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Fordham wins by over 12.5 points · Fordham wins by over 12.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 1,433 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Dayton wins by over 12.5 points · Dayton wins by over 12.5 points | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 1,336 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| BYU wins by over 28.5 points · BYU wins by over 28.5 points | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 1,318 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Iowa wins by over 5.5 points · Iowa wins by over 5.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 1,255 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Utah wins by over 18.5 points · Utah wins by over 18.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 1,173 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Iowa wins by over 4.5 points · Iowa wins by over 4.5 points | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 1,005 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| UCF wins by over 16.5 points · UCF wins by over 16.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 927 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Kansas wins by over 5.5 points · Kansas wins by over 5.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 907 | Nov 13, 02:30 UTC |
| Villanova wins by over 22.5 points · Villanova wins by over 22.5 points | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 896 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Duquesne wins by over 5.5 points · Duquesne wins by over 5.5 points | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 789 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Creighton wins by over 3.5 points · Creighton wins by over 3.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 694 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Vanderbilt wins by over 15.5 points · Vanderbilt wins by over 15.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 659 | Nov 13, 00:15 UTC |
| Xavier wins by over 30.5 points · Xavier wins by over 30.5 points | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 626 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| BYU wins by over 32.5 points · BYU wins by over 32.5 points | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 584 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| Central Michigan wins by over 5.5 points · Central Michigan wins by over 5.5 points | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 562 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Baylor wins by over 20.5 points · Baylor wins by over 20.5 points | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 561 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Creighton wins by over 2.5 points · Creighton wins by over 2.5 points | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 545 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| San Francisco wins by over 11.5 points · San Francisco wins by over 11.5 points | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 515 | Nov 13, 03:00 UTC |
| Vanderbilt wins by over 12.5 points · Vanderbilt wins by over 12.5 points | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 515 | Nov 13, 00:15 UTC |
| Iowa St. wins by over 32.5 points · Iowa St. wins by over 32.5 points | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 468 | Nov 13, 01:00 UTC |
| Georgia Tech wins by over 16.5 points · Georgia Tech wins by over 16.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 416 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
| Duke wins by over 10.5 points · Duke wins by over 10.5 points | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 376 | Nov 13, 00:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 725 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.