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Southland Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If the UT Rio Grande Valley men's college basketball team are the 2027 Southland Conference tournament champions, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
8% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will McNeese be the 2027 Southland Conference tournament champions? · McNeese | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 599 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will East Texas A&M be the 2027 Southland Conference tournament champions? · East Texas A&M | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 229 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Stephen F. Austin be the 2027 Southland Conference tournament champions? · Stephen F. Austin | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 31 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will UT Rio Grande Valley be the 2027 Southland Conference tournament champions? · UT Rio Grande Valley | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans be the 2027 Southland Conference tournament champions? · New Orleans | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Southeastern Louisiana be the 2027 Southland Conference tournament champions? · Southeastern Louisiana | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Northwestern St. be the 2027 Southland Conference tournament champions? · Northwestern St. | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Nicholls St. be the 2027 Southland Conference tournament champions? · Nicholls St. | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Lamar be the 2027 Southland Conference tournament champions? · Lamar | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Incarnate Word be the 2027 Southland Conference tournament champions? · Incarnate Word | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Houston Christian be the 2027 Southland Conference tournament champions? · Houston Christian | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Texas A&M-Corpus Christi be the 2027 Southland Conference tournament champions? · Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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