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Men's College Basketball Next Coach on Kalshi
If the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball is Yasir Rosemond, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fox Sports, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 49 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jacque Vaughn be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Jacque Vaughn | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 379,185 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Billy Donovan be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Billy Donovan | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 165,125 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ben McCollum be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Ben McCollum | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 91,273 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tommy Lloyd be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Tommy Lloyd | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 89,298 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeremy Case be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Jeremy Case | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 51,916 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will T.J. Otzelberger be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · T.J. Otzelberger | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 50,335 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Scott Drew be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Scott Drew | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 46,667 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aaron Miles be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Aaron Miles | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 33,702 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Todd Golden be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Todd Golden | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 29,617 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fred Hoiberg be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Fred Hoiberg | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 19,669 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dusty May be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Dusty May | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 18,443 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mick Cronin be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Mick Cronin | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 18,303 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grant McCasland be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Grant McCasland | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 15,522 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brad Underwood be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Brad Underwood | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 15,122 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nate Oats be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Nate Oats | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,156 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bucky McMillan be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Bucky McMillan | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,263 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brad Stevens be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Brad Stevens | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,932 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sean Miller be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Sean Miller | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,388 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Luke Murray be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Luke Murray | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,721 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kelvin Sampson be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Kelvin Sampson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,392 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Schertz be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Josh Schertz | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,924 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dan Hurley be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Dan Hurley | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,214 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jay Wright be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Jay Wright | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,628 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will John Groce be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · John Groce | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,306 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tony Stubblefield be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Tony Stubblefield | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 1,824 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Niko Medved be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Niko Medved | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 558 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Dennis Gates be the next permanent head coach of Kansas men's college basketball? · Dennis Gates | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 321 | Nov 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Yasir Rosemond be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Yasir Rosemond | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will T.J. Otzelberger be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · T.J. Otzelberger | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tommy Lloyd be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Tommy Lloyd | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sean Miller be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Sean Miller | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Scott Drew be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Scott Drew | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ross Hodge be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Ross Hodge | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will R-Jay Barsh be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · R-Jay Barsh | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Mennenga be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Mike Mennenga | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mark Few be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Mark Few | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mick Cronin be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Mick Cronin | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kyle Smith be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Kyle Smith | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Schertz be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Josh Schertz | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Joe Pasternack be the next permanent head coach of Oregon men's college basketball? · Joe Pasternack | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Sep 01, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 49 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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