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Men's College Basketball KenPom Top Ratings on Kalshi
If Xavier is ranked top 10 on the 2027 Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings on Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: KenPom.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 643 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top 25 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: SMU · SMU | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 254 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Top 25 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Villanova · Villanova | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 248 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Top 25 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Kentucky · Kentucky | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 248 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Top 25 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Syracuse · Syracuse | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 248 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Top 25 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: North Carolina · North Carolina | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 230 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Top 25 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: USC · USC | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 217 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Top 25 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Indiana · Indiana | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 212 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Top 25 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Auburn · Auburn | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 203 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Top 25 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Wisconsin · Wisconsin | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 150 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Top 25 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Arkansas · Arkansas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 114 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Top 25 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: UConn · UConn | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Xavier · Xavier | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: West Virginia · West Virginia | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Wisconsin · Wisconsin | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Virginia Tech · Virginia Tech | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Villanova · Villanova | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: VCU · VCU | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Vanderbilt · Vanderbilt | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Virginia · Virginia | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Utah St. · Utah St. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: USC · USC | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: New Mexico · New Mexico | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: North Carolina · North Carolina | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Kentucky · Kentucky | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Georgia · Georgia | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: UCLA · UCLA | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: UCF · UCF | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Texas A&M · Texas A&M | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Texas Tech · Texas Tech | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Texas · Texas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Tennessee · Tennessee | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: TCU · TCU | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Stanford · Stanford | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Saint Mary's · Saint Mary's | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Saint Louis · Saint Louis | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: St. John's · St. John's | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: San Diego St. · San Diego St. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Purdue · Purdue | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Providence · Providence | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
| Top 10 on KenPom Ratings for Apr 7, 2027 at 12:00pm EDT: Pittsburgh · Pittsburgh | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Apr 06, 16:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 643 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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