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Big Sky Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If Utah Tech is the 2027 Men's College Basketball Big Sky conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
5%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
10% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.33 | 5.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portland St. be the Big Sky tournament champions? · Portland St. | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 274 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Idaho be the Big Sky tournament champions? · Idaho | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 174 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Montana St. be the Big Sky tournament champions? · Montana St. | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 28 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Eastern Washington be the Big Sky tournament champions? · Eastern Washington | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 10 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Montana be the Big Sky tournament champions? · Montana | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Utah Tech be the Big Sky tournament champions? · Utah Tech | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Southern Utah be the Big Sky tournament champions? · Southern Utah | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Weber St. be the Big Sky tournament champions? · Weber St. | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Northern Colorado be the Big Sky tournament champions? · Northern Colorado | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Northern Arizona be the Big Sky tournament champions? · Northern Arizona | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Idaho St. be the Big Sky tournament champions? · Idaho St. | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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