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Men's College Basketball Big 12 Regular Season Top Finishers on Kalshi
If the West Virginia men's college basketball team finishes in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
18%
Median YES price across 48 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
37% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18¢ (now) | 1.0¢ | $2.87 | 19.0% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Arizona men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Arizona | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 565 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Kansas men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Kansas | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 282 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Houston men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Houston | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 204 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Arizona men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Arizona | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 152 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas Tech men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Texas Tech | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 85 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Baylor men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Baylor | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 80 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the BYU men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · BYU | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 77 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Cincinnati men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Cincinnati | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 38 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the TCU men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · TCU | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 30 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Kansas men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Kansas | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 23 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas Tech men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Texas Tech | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 4 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the West Virginia men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · West Virginia | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Utah men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Utah | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UCF men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · UCF | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas Tech men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Texas Tech | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the TCU men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · TCU | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Oklahoma St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Oklahoma St. | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Kansas St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Kansas St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Iowa St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Iowa St. | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Houston men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Houston | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Colorado men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Colorado | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Cincinnati men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Cincinnati | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the BYU men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · BYU | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Baylor men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Baylor | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Arizona St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 2 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Arizona St. | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the West Virginia men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · West Virginia | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Utah men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Utah | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UCF men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · UCF | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the TCU men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · TCU | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Oklahoma St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Oklahoma St. | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Kansas men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Kansas | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Kansas St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Kansas St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Iowa St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Iowa St. | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Houston men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Houston | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Colorado men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Colorado | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the BYU men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · BYU | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Baylor men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Baylor | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Arizona St. men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Arizona St. | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Arizona men's college basketball team finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · Arizona | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the West Virginia men's college basketball team finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026-27 regular season? · West Virginia | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Mar 21, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 48 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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