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Big 12 Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If West Virginia is the 2027 Men's College Basketball Big 12 conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Houston be the Big 12 tournament champions? · Houston | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 1,835 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona be the Big 12 tournament champions? · Arizona | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 1,596 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Texas Tech be the Big 12 tournament champions? · Texas Tech | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 1,204 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will West Virginia be the Big 12 tournament champions? · West Virginia | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 970 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Iowa St. be the Big 12 tournament champions? · Iowa St. | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 968 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Baylor be the Big 12 tournament champions? · Baylor | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 883 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will UCF be the Big 12 tournament champions? · UCF | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 722 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona St. be the Big 12 tournament champions? · Arizona St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 349 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas be the Big 12 tournament champions? · Kansas | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 345 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will BYU be the Big 12 tournament champions? · BYU | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 290 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will TCU be the Big 12 tournament champions? · TCU | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 253 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Cincinnati be the Big 12 tournament champions? · Cincinnati | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 113 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma St. be the Big 12 tournament champions? · Oklahoma St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 90 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas St. be the Big 12 tournament champions? · Kansas St. | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 67 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Colorado be the Big 12 tournament champions? · Colorado | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 2 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Utah be the Big 12 tournament champions? · Utah | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1 | Mar 28, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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