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Men's College Basketball Awards on Kalshi
If Zoom Diallo wins the NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player in the 2026-27 Division I men's college basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, AP, The Athletic.
Market says (typical open contract)
40%
Median YES price across 989 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
79% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 40¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $2.10 | 41.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner wins Naismith Player of the Year · Tyler Tanner | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 118 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Silas Demary Jr. wins Naismith Player of the Year · Silas Demary Jr. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 100 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. wins John R. Wooden Award · Jeremy Fears Jr. | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 100 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Tyran Stokes wins Naismith Player of the Year · Tyran Stokes | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 58 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. wins AP Player of the Year · Jeremy Fears Jr. | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 50 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. wins Naismith Player of the Year · Jeremy Fears Jr. | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 42 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Thomas Haugh wins Naismith Player of the Year · Thomas Haugh | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 39 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Tyran Stokes wins AP Player of the Year · Tyran Stokes | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 20 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Jason Crowe Jr. wins AP Player of the Year · Jason Crowe Jr. | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 6 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. wins Bob Cousy Award · Jeremy Fears Jr. | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 2 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje wins AP Player of the Year · Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Thomas Haugh wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Thomas Haugh | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Zvonimir Ivisic wins Naismith Defensive Player of the Year · Zvonimir Ivisic | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Amani Hansberry wins Karl Malone Award · Amani Hansberry | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Rodney Rice wins Jerry West Award · Rodney Rice | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| D.J. Wagner wins Jerry West Award · D.J. Wagner | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Tomislav Ivisic wins John R. Wooden Award · Tomislav Ivisic | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Aiden Sherrell wins John R. Wooden Award · Aiden Sherrell | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Zoom Diallo wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Zoom Diallo | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Tounde Yessoufou wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Tounde Yessoufou | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Tyler Tanner wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Tyler Tanner | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Tyran Stokes wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Tyran Stokes | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Trent Perry wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Trent Perry | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Trey McKenney wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Trey McKenney | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Tyler Lundblade wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Tyler Lundblade | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Tomislav Ivisic wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Tomislav Ivisic | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Terrence Hill Jr. wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Terrence Hill Jr. | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Thijs De Ridder wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Thijs De Ridder | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Stefan Vaaks wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Stefan Vaaks | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Shelton Henderson wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Shelton Henderson | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Silas Demary Jr. wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Silas Demary Jr. | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Somto Cyril wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Somto Cyril | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Robert Wright III wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Robert Wright III | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Rodney Rice wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Rodney Rice | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Rueben Chinyelu wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Rueben Chinyelu | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Quinn Ellis wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Quinn Ellis | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Quentin Coleman wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Quentin Coleman | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Patrick Ngongba II wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Patrick Ngongba II | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Nikola Kusturica wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Nikola Kusturica | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Nikolas Khamenia wins NCAA Tournament Most Outstanding Player · Nikolas Khamenia | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | May 07, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 989 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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