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Men's College Basketball AP Rank Anytime in Season on Kalshi
If the West Virginia men's college basketball team is ranked top 5 on the AP Top 25 Men's College Basketball Poll during any week of the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: AP College Basketball Rankings.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 69 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the West Virginia men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · West Virginia | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Wisconsin men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Wisconsin | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Virginia Tech men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Virginia Tech | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Villanova men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Villanova | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the VCU men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · VCU | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Vanderbilt men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Vanderbilt | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Virginia men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Virginia | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Utah St. men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Utah St. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the USC men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · USC | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the North Carolina men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · North Carolina | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Kentucky men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Kentucky | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the UCLA men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · UCLA | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas A&M men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Texas A&M | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas Tech men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Texas Tech | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Texas men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Texas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Tennessee men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Tennessee | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the TCU men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · TCU | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Saint Louis men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Saint Louis | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the St. John's men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · St. John's | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Santa Clara men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Santa Clara | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Purdue men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Purdue | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Ohio St. men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Ohio St. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Nevada men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Nevada | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Nebraska men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Nebraska | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Michigan St. men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Michigan St. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Missouri men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Missouri | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Michigan men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Michigan | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Miami (FL) men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Miami (FL) | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Maryland men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Maryland | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Marquette men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Marquette | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Louisville men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Louisville | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Kansas men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Kansas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Iowa St. men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Iowa St. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Iowa men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Iowa | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Indiana men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Indiana | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Houston men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Houston | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Gonzaga men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Gonzaga | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Grand Canyon men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Grand Canyon | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Creighton men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Creighton | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
| Will the Cincinnati men's college basketball team be ranked top 5 during any week of the 2026-27 season? · Cincinnati | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 14, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 69 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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