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American Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If the Wichita St. men's college basketball team are the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
8% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UTSA be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions? · UTSA | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 899 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Memphis be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Memphis | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 601 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will North Texas be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions? · North Texas | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 264 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will UAB be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions? · UAB | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 224 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Wichita St. be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Wichita St. | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 159 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Tulsa be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Tulsa | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 64 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Tulane be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Tulane | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 31 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Charlotte be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Charlotte | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 19 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will South Florida be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions? · South Florida | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 8 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Temple be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Temple | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 8 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Florida Atlantic be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Florida Atlantic | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 8 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will Rice be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions? · Rice | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
| Will East Carolina be the 2027 American Athletic Conference tournament champions? · East Carolina | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Mar 28, 21:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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