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ACC Conference Tournament on Kalshi
If Wake Forest is the 2027 Men's College Basketball ACC conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
8% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Duke be the ACC tournament champions? · Duke | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 3,316 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will Florida St. be the ACC tournament champions? · Florida St. | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,614 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will Virginia be the ACC tournament champions? · Virginia | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 1,214 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will North Carolina be the ACC tournament champions? · North Carolina | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 735 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will Miami (FL) be the ACC tournament champions? · Miami (FL) | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 627 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will Louisville be the ACC tournament champions? · Louisville | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 418 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will Georgia Tech be the ACC tournament champions? · Georgia Tech | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 181 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will SMU be the ACC tournament champions? · SMU | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 69 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will Clemson be the ACC tournament champions? · Clemson | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 52 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will Wake Forest be the ACC tournament champions? · Wake Forest | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 50 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will NC St. be the ACC tournament champions? · NC St. | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 12 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will Boston College be the ACC tournament champions? · Boston College | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 11 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will Stanford be the ACC tournament champions? · Stanford | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 3 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will Pittsburgh be the ACC tournament champions? · Pittsburgh | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will California be the ACC tournament champions? · California | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will Virginia Tech be the ACC tournament champions? · Virginia Tech | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 1 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will Notre Dame be the ACC tournament champions? · Notre Dame | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
| Will Syracuse be the ACC tournament champions? · Syracuse | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Mar 29, 15:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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