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SEC Champion on Kalshi
If Vanderbilt wins the 2026 College Football SEC Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: The Wall Street Journal, ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Georgia win the College Football SEC Championship? · Georgia | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 198,357 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Alabama win the College Football SEC Championship? · Alabama | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 187,198 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma win the College Football SEC Championship? · Oklahoma | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 151,424 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Ole Miss win the College Football SEC Championship? · Ole Miss | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 143,975 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Auburn win the College Football SEC Championship? · Auburn | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 140,443 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Florida win the College Football SEC Championship? · Florida | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 124,979 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will LSU win the College Football SEC Championship? · LSU | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 121,345 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Texas win the College Football SEC Championship? · Texas | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 121,334 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Vanderbilt win the College Football SEC Championship? · Vanderbilt | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 113,097 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Kentucky win the College Football SEC Championship? · Kentucky | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 96,986 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will South Carolina win the College Football SEC Championship? · South Carolina | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 90,113 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee win the College Football SEC Championship? · Tennessee | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 76,260 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Mississippi St. win the College Football SEC Championship? · Mississippi St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 71,891 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Texas A&M win the College Football SEC Championship? · Texas A&M | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 70,984 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Missouri win the College Football SEC Championship? · Missouri | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 44,020 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Arkansas win the College Football SEC Championship? · Arkansas | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,254 | Jan 03, 04:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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