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College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Qualifiers on Kalshi
If Western Michigan qualifies for the 2026 College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
6% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Western Michigan qualify for the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game? · Western Michigan | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 4,072 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will UMass qualify for the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game? · UMass | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 3,271 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ohio qualify for the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game? · Ohio | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 1,351 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Eastern Michigan qualify for the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game? · Eastern Michigan | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,313 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Toledo qualify for the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game? · Toledo | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 771 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo qualify for the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game? · Buffalo | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 618 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bowling Green qualify for the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game? · Bowling Green | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 362 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Miami (OH) qualify for the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game? · Miami (OH) | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 338 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Central Michigan qualify for the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game? · Central Michigan | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 109 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Akron qualify for the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game? · Akron | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 89 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kent St. qualify for the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game? · Kent St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 58 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ball St. qualify for the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game? · Ball St. | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 26 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sacramento St. qualify for the College Football Mid-American Conference Championship Game? · Sacramento St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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