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College Football Stats Leaders on Kalshi
If Luke Yoder records the most rushing yards in Division I college football in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 420 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
97% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 48¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.82 | 49.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in college football · Jeremiah Smith | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 66 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jadan Baugh records the most rushing yards in college football · Jadan Baugh | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 25 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Malachi Toney records the most receiving yards in college football · Malachi Toney | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 20 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Mario Craver records the most receiving yards in college football · Mario Craver | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 10 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Gunner Stockton records the most passing touchdowns in college football · Gunner Stockton | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 10 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Larenzo Fenner records the most receiving yards in college football · Larenzo Fenner | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 6 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Braden Atkinson records the most passing yards in college football · Braden Atkinson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Deuce Alexander records the most receiving yards in college football · Deuce Alexander | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jordan Gant records the most rushing yards in college football · Jordan Gant | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Isaiah Sategna III records the most receiving yards in college football · Isaiah Sategna III | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Luke Yoder records the most rushing yards in college football · Luke Yoder | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Brooks Davis records the most receiving yards in college football · Brooks Davis | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jesse Legree records the most receiving yards in college football · Jesse Legree | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Kamden Sixkiller records the most passing yards in college football · Kamden Sixkiller | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jaylon Tolbert records the most passing touchdowns in college football · Jaylon Tolbert | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Markell Holman records the most rushing yards in college football · Markell Holman | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Cam Cook records the most rushing yards in college football · Cam Cook | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Kirby Vorhees records the most rushing yards in college football · Kirby Vorhees | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jalen Buckley records the most rushing yards in college football · Jalen Buckley | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Broc Lowry records the most rushing yards in college football · Broc Lowry | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Sincere Baines records the most rushing yards in college football · Sincere Baines | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Colton Joseph records the most rushing yards in college football · Colton Joseph | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Abu Sama III records the most rushing yards in college football · Abu Sama III | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Sawyer Seidl records the most rushing yards in college football · Sawyer Seidl | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Marcellous Hawkins records the most rushing yards in college football · Marcellous Hawkins | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Bill Davis records the most rushing yards in college football · Bill Davis | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Sedrick Alexander records the most rushing yards in college football · Sedrick Alexander | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jekail Middlebrook records the most rushing yards in college football · Jekail Middlebrook | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Henderson III records the most rushing yards in college football · Will Henderson III | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Wayshawn Parker records the most rushing yards in college football · Wayshawn Parker | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Devon Dampier records the most rushing yards in college football · Devon Dampier | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| D.J. Crowther records the most rushing yards in college football · D.J. Crowther | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| King Miller records the most rushing yards in college football · King Miller | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Nick Osho records the most rushing yards in college football · Nick Osho | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Scottre Humphrey records the most rushing yards in college football · Scottre Humphrey | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jai'Den Thomas records the most rushing yards in college football · Jai'Den Thomas | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Anthony Reagan Jr. records the most rushing yards in college football · Anthony Reagan Jr. | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Jovantae Barnes records the most rushing yards in college football · Jovantae Barnes | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Nate Frazier records the most rushing yards in college football · Nate Frazier | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Dante Dowdell records the most rushing yards in college football · Dante Dowdell | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 420 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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