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College Football FCS Champion on Kalshi
If the Youngstown St. college football team wins the FCS National Championship in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 128 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montana St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Montana St. | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 11,092 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Idaho St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Idaho St. | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 9,461 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| North Dakota wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · North Dakota | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 6,973 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| West Florida wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · West Florida | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,148 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Montana wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Montana | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 4,672 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Stephen F. Austin wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Stephen F. Austin | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 4,167 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Tarleton St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Tarleton St. | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 4,049 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| South Dakota St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · South Dakota St. | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 3,091 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Youngstown St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Youngstown St. | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 3,040 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Harvard wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Harvard | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,886 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Yale wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Yale | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,146 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| South Dakota wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · South Dakota | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,906 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Illinois St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Illinois St. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,789 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Northern Arizona wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Northern Arizona | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,188 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Austin Peay wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Austin Peay | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 978 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Lehigh wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Lehigh | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 920 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Idaho wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Idaho | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 891 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Lamar wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Lamar | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 739 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| UC Davis wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · UC Davis | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 677 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Campbell wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Campbell | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 630 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| South Carolina St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · South Carolina St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 608 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Weber St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Weber St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 541 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Penn wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Penn | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 501 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Alabama St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Alabama St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 467 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Monmouth wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Monmouth | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 467 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Alabama A&M wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Alabama A&M | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 327 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Morgan St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Morgan St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 280 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Villanova wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Villanova | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 208 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Tennessee Tech wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Tennessee Tech | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 193 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| East Tennessee St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · East Tennessee St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 170 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Central Connecticut St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Central Connecticut St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 161 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Richmond wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Richmond | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 141 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Cal Poly wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Cal Poly | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 136 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Eastern Washington wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Eastern Washington | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 93 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Charleston Southern wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Charleston Southern | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 93 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Alcorn St. wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Alcorn St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 89 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Merrimack wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Merrimack | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 86 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Furman wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Furman | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 79 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Elon wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Elon | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 70 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
| Southern Illinois wins FCS National Championship in 2026-27 season · Southern Illinois | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 42 | Jan 26, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 128 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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