What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Conference USA Champion on Kalshi

If Western Kentucky wins the 2026 College Football Conference USA Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: The Wall Street Journal, ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Delaware win the College Football Conference USA Championship? · Delaware	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	64,765	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Liberty win the College Football Conference USA Championship? · Liberty	74¢	74%	1.4¢	—	53%	64,558	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Jacksonville St. win the College Football Conference USA Championship? · Jacksonville St.	23¢	23%	1.2¢	—	46%	31,020	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Sam Houston win the College Football Conference USA Championship? · Sam Houston	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	22,326	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Kennesaw St. win the College Football Conference USA Championship? · Kennesaw St.	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	22,050	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will New Mexico St. win the College Football Conference USA Championship? · New Mexico St.	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	20,625	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Middle Tennessee win the College Football Conference USA Championship? · Middle Tennessee	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	17,151	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Florida International win the College Football Conference USA Championship? · Florida International	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	9,596	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Western Kentucky win the College Football Conference USA Championship? · Western Kentucky	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	5,632	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Missouri St. win the College Football Conference USA Championship? · Missouri St.	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	4,722	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.