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College Football Big 12 Regular Season Top Finishers on Kalshi
If West Virginia finishes in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
7%
Median YES price across 48 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
14% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arizona finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Arizona | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 3,073 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma St. finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Oklahoma St. | 61¢ | 61% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 2,965 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma St. finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Oklahoma St. | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 2,547 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oklahoma St. finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Oklahoma St. | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 2,078 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colorado finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Colorado | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,052 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Houston | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 1,658 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will BYU finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · BYU | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 1,554 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Arizona | 65¢ | 65% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 1,550 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Texas Tech finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Texas Tech | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 1,514 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Utah finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Utah | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,298 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Arizona | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 1,279 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will BYU finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · BYU | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 1,161 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will BYU finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · BYU | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 953 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Houston | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 928 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Utah finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Utah | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 836 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Utah finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Utah | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 782 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona St. finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Arizona St. | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 774 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas St. finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Kansas St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 722 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Baylor finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Baylor | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 650 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona St. finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Arizona St. | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 615 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Texas Tech finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Texas Tech | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 526 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas St. finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Kansas St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 515 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Houston | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 467 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Iowa St. finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Iowa St. | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 402 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will West Virginia finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · West Virginia | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 373 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will TCU finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · TCU | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 349 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colorado finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Colorado | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 333 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Texas Tech finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Texas Tech | 75¢ | 75% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 296 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will West Virginia finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · West Virginia | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 239 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will TCU finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · TCU | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 224 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Iowa St. finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Iowa St. | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 209 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Baylor finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Baylor | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 208 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will West Virginia finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · West Virginia | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 194 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Baylor finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Baylor | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 192 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colorado finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Colorado | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 154 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona St. finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Arizona St. | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 114 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas St. finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Kansas St. | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 95 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will UCF finish in the top 5 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · UCF | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 87 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Iowa St. finish in the top 3 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · Iowa St. | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 53 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will UCF finish in the top 4 in the Big 12 in the 2026 college football regular season? · UCF | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 34 | Feb 07, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 48 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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