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Big 12 Champion on Kalshi

If West Virginia wins the 2026 College Football Big 12 Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: The Wall Street Journal, ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Oklahoma St. win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Oklahoma St.6¢6%0.4¢—11%496,145Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Utah win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Utah47¢47%1.7¢—94%431,592Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Texas Tech win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Texas Tech20¢20%1.1¢—41%363,660Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Arizona St. win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Arizona St.0¢0%0.0¢—1%333,784Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Houston win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Houston8¢8%0.5¢—16%312,615Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Arizona win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Arizona4¢4%0.2¢—7%284,098Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will BYU win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · BYU8¢8%0.5¢—17%278,343Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Baylor win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Baylor2¢2%0.2¢—5%271,606Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Colorado win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Colorado0¢0%0.0¢—1%244,889Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will West Virginia win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · West Virginia0¢0%0.0¢—1%234,197Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will TCU win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · TCU0¢0%0.0¢—1%213,042Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Kansas St. win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Kansas St.0¢0%0.0¢—1%180,626Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Iowa St. win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Iowa St.0¢0%0.0¢—1%124,975Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Cincinnati win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Cincinnati0¢0%0.0¢—1%113,540Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will UCF win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · UCF0¢0%0.0¢—1%112,101Jan 02, 15:00 UTC
Will Kansas win the College Football Big 12 Championship? · Kansas0¢0%0.0¢—1%28,656Jan 02, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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