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College Football Big Ten Championship Qualifiers on Kalshi
If Wisconsin qualifies for the 2026 College Football Big Ten Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
5% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UCLA qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · UCLA | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 9,674 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nebraska qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Nebraska | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 9,390 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ohio St. qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Ohio St. | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 8,492 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oregon qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Oregon | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 4,488 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Penn St. qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Penn St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,787 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Indiana qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Indiana | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 3,020 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wisconsin qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Wisconsin | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,394 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Iowa qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Iowa | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 2,322 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will USC qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · USC | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 1,473 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Northwestern qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Northwestern | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,237 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michigan qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Michigan | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 566 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Minnesota | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 341 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Maryland qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Maryland | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 213 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Washington qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Washington | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 175 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rutgers qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Rutgers | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 93 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Illinois qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Illinois | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 90 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Purdue qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Purdue | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 58 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Michigan St. qualify for the College Football Big Ten Championship Game? · Michigan St. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 47 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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