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College Football ACC Championship Qualifiers on Kalshi
If Wake Forest qualifies for the 2026 College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
7%
Median YES price across 17 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
14% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Miami (FL) qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · Miami (FL) | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 15,017 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Virginia qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · Virginia | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 4,944 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Louisville qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · Louisville | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 4,661 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Clemson qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · Clemson | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 3,758 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SMU qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · SMU | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 2,672 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Virginia Tech qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · Virginia Tech | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 2,614 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will North Carolina qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · North Carolina | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,234 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wake Forest qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · Wake Forest | 67¢ | 67% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 1,669 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will California qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · California | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,474 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Duke qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · Duke | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 1,311 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pittsburgh qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · Pittsburgh | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 1,270 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Georgia Tech qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · Georgia Tech | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 590 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Florida St. qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · Florida St. | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 553 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Syracuse qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · Syracuse | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 263 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will North Carolina St. qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · North Carolina St. | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 204 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Stanford qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · Stanford | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 40 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Boston College qualify for the College Football Atlantic Coast Conference Championship Game? · Boston College | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 21 | Jan 10, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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