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NBA Western Conference Finals MVP on Kalshi
If Zion Williamson wins the Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
18%
Median YES price across 50 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
37% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18¢ (now) | 1.0¢ | $2.87 | 19.0% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Victor Wembanyama · Victor Wembanyama | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 53 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 41 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Ja Morant · Ja Morant | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 20 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Anthony Edwards · Anthony Edwards | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 13 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Stephen Curry · Stephen Curry | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 5 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Luka Dončić · Luka Dončić | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 2 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Kawhi Leonard · Kawhi Leonard | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Jaden McDaniels · Jaden McDaniels | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Zion Williamson · Zion Williamson | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Trey Murphy III · Trey Murphy III | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Shaedon Sharpe · Shaedon Sharpe | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Stephon Castle · Stephon Castle | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Rudy Gobert · Rudy Gobert | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Nikola Jokić · Nikola Jokić | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Miles Bridges · Miles Bridges | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Lauri Markkanen · Lauri Markkanen | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: LaMelo Ball · LaMelo Ball | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Kristaps Porziņģis · Kristaps Porziņģis | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Kyrie Irving · Kyrie Irving | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Keyonte George · Keyonte George | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Kevin Durant · Kevin Durant | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Jalen Williams · Jalen Williams | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Jabari Smith Jr. · Jabari Smith Jr. | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Jamal Murray · Jamal Murray | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Jaren Jackson Jr. · Jaren Jackson Jr. | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Jrue Holiday · Jrue Holiday | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Jalen Green · Jalen Green | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Jimmy Butler III · Jimmy Butler III | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Isaiah Hartenstein · Isaiah Hartenstein | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Devin Vassell · Devin Vassell | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Domantas Sabonis · Domantas Sabonis | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Darryn Peterson · Darryn Peterson | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Dejounte Murray · Dejounte Murray | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Damian Lillard · Damian Lillard | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Dylan Harper · Dylan Harper | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Draymond Green · Draymond Green | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Darius Garland · Darius Garland | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: De'Aaron Fox · De'Aaron Fox | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: DeMar DeRozan · DeMar DeRozan | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Western Conference Finals MVP: Dillon Brooks · Dillon Brooks | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Aug 07, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 50 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.