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NBA Regular Season League Leader on Kalshi
If Walker Kessler leads the NBA in total plus/minus for the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 692 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Anthony Edwards · Anthony Edwards | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 13,823 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Points per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Luka Dončić · Luka Dončić | 82¢ | 82% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 10,658 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Assists per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Tyrese Haliburton · Tyrese Haliburton | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 9,024 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Three-pointers made per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Stephen Curry · Stephen Curry | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 8,922 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Assists per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: LeBron James · LeBron James | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 7,496 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Assists per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Trae Young · Trae Young | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 7,027 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Three-pointers made per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Anthony Edwards · Anthony Edwards | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 6,649 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Blocks per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Victor Wembanyama · Victor Wembanyama | 86¢ | 86% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 6,283 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Assists per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Nikola Jokić · Nikola Jokić | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 6,138 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Rebounds per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Domantas Sabonis · Domantas Sabonis | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 5,936 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Three-pointers made per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Luka Dončić · Luka Dončić | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 5,379 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Rebounds per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Nikola Jokić · Nikola Jokić | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 4,931 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Points per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 4,538 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Steals per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Cason Wallace · Cason Wallace | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 4,463 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Rebounds per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Victor Wembanyama · Victor Wembanyama | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 4,400 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Assists per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: LaMelo Ball · LaMelo Ball | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 4,174 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Rebounds per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Kel'el Ware · Kel'el Ware | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,856 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Efficiency leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Nikola Jokić · Nikola Jokić | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 3,853 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Three-pointers made per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Kon Knueppel · Kon Knueppel | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,785 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Points per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Jayson Tatum · Jayson Tatum | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,607 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Assists per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Davion Mitchell · Davion Mitchell | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 3,486 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Points per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Giannis Antetokounmpo · Giannis Antetokounmpo | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 3,110 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Assists per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Cade Cunningham · Cade Cunningham | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,867 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Steals per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Dyson Daniels · Dyson Daniels | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 2,538 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Three-pointers made per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Damian Lillard · Damian Lillard | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,358 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Three-pointers made per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Jayson Tatum · Jayson Tatum | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,326 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Rebounds per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Donovan Clingan · Donovan Clingan | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,118 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Minutes played per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Anthony Edwards · Anthony Edwards | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 2,112 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Rebounds per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Karl-Anthony Towns · Karl-Anthony Towns | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 2,053 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Steals per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Paul George · Paul George | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,048 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Double doubles leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Nikola Jokić · Nikola Jokić | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 2,012 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Double doubles leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Domantas Sabonis · Domantas Sabonis | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 2,006 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Steals per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Ausar Thompson · Ausar Thompson | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 1,916 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Double doubles leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Giannis Antetokounmpo · Giannis Antetokounmpo | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 1,877 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Three-pointers made per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Brandon Miller · Brandon Miller | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,847 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Double doubles leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Karl-Anthony Towns · Karl-Anthony Towns | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 1,827 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Three-pointers made per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Nickeil Alexander-Walker · Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,802 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Rebounds per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Giannis Antetokounmpo · Giannis Antetokounmpo | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 1,782 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Minutes played per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Amen Thompson · Amen Thompson | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 1,708 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Assists per game leader in the 2026-27 regular season: Josh Giddey · Josh Giddey | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 1,690 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 692 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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