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Pro Basketball Hall of Fame on Kalshi
If Terry Stotts is announced as an inductee for the 2027 Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame class, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League, Bleacher Report, Sports Illustrated, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 28 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andre Iguodala be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Andre Iguodala | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 419 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Blake Griffin be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Blake Griffin | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 196 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Shawn Marion be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Shawn Marion | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 110 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will John Wall be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · John Wall | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 80 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Blake Griffin be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Blake Griffin | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 48 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Rasheed Wallace be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Rasheed Wallace | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 30 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Horace Grant be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Horace Grant | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 19 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Andre Iguodala be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Andre Iguodala | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 4 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Terry Stotts be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Terry Stotts | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will LaMarcus Aldridge be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · LaMarcus Aldridge | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kelvin Sampson be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Kelvin Sampson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Joe Johnson be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Joe Johnson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Elton Brand be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Elton Brand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Diana Taurasi be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Diana Taurasi | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Detlef Schrempf be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Detlef Schrempf | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Bill Laimbeer be announced as an inductee for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Bill Laimbeer | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Terry Stotts be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Terry Stotts | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Shawn Marion be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Shawn Marion | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Rasheed Wallace be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Rasheed Wallace | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will LaMarcus Aldridge be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · LaMarcus Aldridge | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kelvin Sampson be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Kelvin Sampson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will John Wall be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · John Wall | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Joe Johnson be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Joe Johnson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Horace Grant be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Horace Grant | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Elton Brand be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Elton Brand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Diana Taurasi be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Diana Taurasi | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Detlef Schrempf be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Detlef Schrempf | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Bill Laimbeer be announced as a finalist for the 2027 Pro Basketball Hall of Fame class? · Bill Laimbeer | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Mar 31, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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