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NBA Defensive Player of the Month on Kalshi
If Zach Edey wins the Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month award in October/November of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 120 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 47¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.86 | 48.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Jalen Suggs · Jalen Suggs | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Zach Edey · Zach Edey | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Yves Missi · Yves Missi | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Walker Kessler · Walker Kessler | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Victor Wembanyama · Victor Wembanyama | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Trey Murphy III · Trey Murphy III | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Tari Eason · Tari Eason | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Toumani Camara · Toumani Camara | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Stephon Castle · Stephon Castle | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Santi Aldama · Santi Aldama | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Robert Williams III · Robert Williams III | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Reed Sheppard · Reed Sheppard | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Rudy Gobert · Rudy Gobert | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Ryan Dunn · Ryan Dunn | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: P.J. Washington · P.J. Washington | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Precious Achiuwa · Precious Achiuwa | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Oso Ighodaro · Oso Ighodaro | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Nikola Jokić · Nikola Jokić | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Mark Williams · Mark Williams | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Matisse Thybulle · Matisse Thybulle | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Marcus Smart · Marcus Smart | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Lauri Markkanen · Lauri Markkanen | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Luka Dončić · Luka Dončić | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Kristaps Porziņģis · Kristaps Porziņģis | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Keegan Murray · Keegan Murray | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Kevin Durant · Kevin Durant | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Kris Dunn · Kris Dunn | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Jalen Williams · Jalen Williams | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Jabari Smith Jr. · Jabari Smith Jr. | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Jusuf Nurkić · Jusuf Nurkić | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Jaden McDaniels · Jaden McDaniels | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Jake LaRavia · Jake LaRavia | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Jaren Jackson Jr. · Jaren Jackson Jr. | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Jrue Holiday · Jrue Holiday | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Isaiah Stewart · Isaiah Stewart | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Isaiah Hartenstein · Isaiah Hartenstein | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Herbert Jones · Herbert Jones | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Gary Payton II · Gary Payton II | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Defensive Player of the Month in October/November: Derik Queen · Derik Queen | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 120 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.