Markets › Kalshi › Sports
NBA Coach of the Month on Kalshi
If Will Hardy wins the Western Conference Coach of the Month award in October/November of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 47¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.86 | 48.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Nick Nurse · Nick Nurse | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 2 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Will Hardy · Will Hardy | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Tyronn Lue · Tyronn Lue | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Tuomas Iisalo · Tuomas Iisalo | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Steve Kerr · Steve Kerr | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Micah Nori · Micah Nori | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Mitch Johnson · Mitch Johnson | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Mark Daigneault · Mark Daigneault | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: JJ Redick · JJ Redick | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Jordan Ott · Jordan Ott | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Jamahl Mosley · Jamahl Mosley | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Ime Udoka · Ime Udoka | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Dusty May · Dusty May | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Doug Christie · Doug Christie | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: David Adelman · David Adelman | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Western Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Chris Finch · Chris Finch | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Tiago Splitter · Tiago Splitter | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Taylor Jenkins · Taylor Jenkins | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Sean Sweeney · Sean Sweeney | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Rick Carlisle · Rick Carlisle | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Quin Snyder · Quin Snyder | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Mike Brown · Mike Brown | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Kenny Atkinson · Kenny Atkinson | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Joe Mazzulla · Joe Mazzulla | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Jordi Fernández · Jordi Fernández | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: J.B. Bickerstaff · J.B. Bickerstaff | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Erik Spoelstra · Erik Spoelstra | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Darko Rajaković · Darko Rajaković | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Charles Lee · Charles Lee | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Eastern Conference Coach of the Month in October/November: Brian Keefe · Brian Keefe | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.