Markets › Kalshi › Sports
NBA Award Finalists on Kalshi
If Will Hardy is selected as a finalist for Coach of the Year in the 2026-27 Pro Basketball season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 303 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Grayson Allen · Grayson Allen | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 2,046 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Ajay Mitchell · Ajay Mitchell | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 1,506 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Kevin Porter Jr. · Kevin Porter Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,486 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Brayden Burries · Brayden Burries | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 1,088 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Payton Pritchard · Payton Pritchard | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 1,059 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Dylan Harper · Dylan Harper | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 993 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Reed Sheppard · Reed Sheppard | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 979 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Jared McCain · Jared McCain | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 968 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Pelle Larsson · Pelle Larsson | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 752 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Ernest Udeh Jr. · Ernest Udeh Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 660 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Anfernee Simons · Anfernee Simons | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 562 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Quentin Grimes · Quentin Grimes | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 429 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Ayo Dosunmu · Ayo Dosunmu | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 429 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Zuby Ejiofor · Zuby Ejiofor | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 424 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Baba Miller · Baba Miller | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 420 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Cameron Boozer · Cameron Boozer | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 407 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Terrence Shannon Jr. · Terrence Shannon Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 400 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Jrue Holiday · Jrue Holiday | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 400 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Aaron Wiggins · Aaron Wiggins | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 400 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Yaxel Lendeborg · Yaxel Lendeborg | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 370 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Trevon Brazile · Trevon Brazile | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 290 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Ugonna Onyenso · Ugonna Onyenso | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 288 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Tarris Reed Jr. · Tarris Reed Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 286 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Nick Martinelli · Nick Martinelli | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 282 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Nate Ament · Nate Ament | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 282 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Henri Veesaar · Henri Veesaar | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 282 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Scoot Henderson · Scoot Henderson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 273 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Tre Donaldson · Tre Donaldson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 270 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Darryn Peterson · Darryn Peterson | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 257 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Most Valuable Player Finalists: Luka Dončić · Luka Dončić | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 220 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Kelly Oubre Jr. · Kelly Oubre Jr. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 200 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Anthony Black · Anthony Black | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 200 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Darius Acuff Jr. · Darius Acuff Jr. | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 191 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Sixth Man of the Year Finalists: Jeremiah Fears · Jeremiah Fears | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 156 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Christian Anderson Jr. · Christian Anderson Jr. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 144 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Ryan Conwell · Ryan Conwell | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 144 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Allen Graves · Allen Graves | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 141 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Alex Karaban · Alex Karaban | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Cameron Carr · Cameron Carr | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
| Pro Basketball Rookie of the Year Finalists: Bennett Stirtz · Bennett Stirtz | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 140 | Jul 08, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 303 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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