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NBA 1st Half Total on Kalshi
If over 137.5 total points are scored in the 1st half of the New Orleans vs Golden State Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 19 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st Half: Over 109.5 points scored · Over 109.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 36,227 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 115.5 points scored · Over 115.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 32,919 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 113.5 points scored · Over 113.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 32,261 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 117.5 points scored · Over 117.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 29,719 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 111.5 points scored · Over 111.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 19,249 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 107.5 points scored · Over 107.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 15,470 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 119.5 points scored · Over 119.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 13,260 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 123.5 points scored · Over 123.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,222 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 105.5 points scored · Over 105.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,156 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 121.5 points scored · Over 121.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,118 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 101.5 points scored · Over 101.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,230 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 103.5 points scored · Over 103.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,771 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 125.5 points scored · Over 125.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,767 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 127.5 points scored · Over 127.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,342 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 137.5 points scored · Over 137.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 624 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 133.5 points scored · Over 133.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 287 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 135.5 points scored · Over 135.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 240 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 129.5 points scored · Over 129.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 209 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| 1st Half: Over 131.5 points scored · Over 131.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 200 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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