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NBA 1st Half Team Total on Kalshi
If New Orleans scores more than 67.5 points in the 1st half of the New Orleans vs Golden State Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 22 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State over 68.5 1st half points scored · Golden State over 68.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,913 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Golden State over 62.5 1st half points scored · Golden State over 62.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,855 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Golden State over 70.5 1st half points scored · Golden State over 70.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,016 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Golden State over 64.5 1st half points scored · Golden State over 64.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,802 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Golden State over 72.5 1st half points scored · Golden State over 72.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 700 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| New Orleans over 61.5 1st half points scored · New Orleans over 61.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 694 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| New Orleans over 47.5 1st half points scored · New Orleans over 47.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 448 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Golden State over 66.5 1st half points scored · Golden State over 66.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 260 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| New Orleans over 49.5 1st half points scored · New Orleans over 49.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 192 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| New Orleans over 53.5 1st half points scored · New Orleans over 53.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 156 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| New Orleans over 51.5 1st half points scored · New Orleans over 51.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 73 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Golden State over 60.5 1st half points scored · Golden State over 60.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 52 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Golden State over 58.5 1st half points scored · Golden State over 58.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 52 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Golden State over 56.5 1st half points scored · Golden State over 56.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 52 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Golden State over 54.5 1st half points scored · Golden State over 54.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 52 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| Golden State over 52.5 1st half points scored · Golden State over 52.5 points | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 52 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| New Orleans over 67.5 1st half points scored · New Orleans over 67.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 44 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| New Orleans over 55.5 1st half points scored · New Orleans over 55.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| New Orleans over 65.5 1st half points scored · New Orleans over 65.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| New Orleans over 63.5 1st half points scored · New Orleans over 63.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| New Orleans over 59.5 1st half points scored · New Orleans over 59.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
| New Orleans over 57.5 1st half points scored · New Orleans over 57.5 points | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 12, 03:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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