What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron on Kalshi

If Jordan Walker wins the Pro Baseball National League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 51 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Pete Crow-Armstrong	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	50,335	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Shohei Ohtani win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Shohei Ohtani	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	16,432	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Kyle Schwarber win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Kyle Schwarber	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	5,265	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will James Wood win NL Hank Aaron Award? · James Wood	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,649	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Matt Olson win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Matt Olson	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,291	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Brice Turang win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Brice Turang	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,505	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Juan Soto win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Juan Soto	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,464	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Ronald Acuña Jr.	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	731	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jordan Walker win NL Hank Aaron Award · Jordan Walker	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	294	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Will Smith win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Will Smith	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	273	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Alex Bregman win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Alex Bregman	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	247	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Masyn Winn win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Masyn Winn	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	232	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Bo Bichette win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Bo Bichette	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	216	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Bryce Harper win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Bryce Harper	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	213	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Rafael Devers win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Rafael Devers	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	165	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Elly De La Cruz win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Elly De La Cruz	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	124	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Christian Yelich win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Christian Yelich	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	122	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Max Muncy win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Max Muncy	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	109	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Corbin Carroll win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Corbin Carroll	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	103	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Hunter Goodman win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Hunter Goodman	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	101	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Drake Baldwin win NL Hank Aaron Award · Drake Baldwin	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	93	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Fernando Tatis Jr.	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	52	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Ozzie Albies win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Ozzie Albies	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	18	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Oneil Cruz win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Oneil Cruz	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	16	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Francisco Lindor win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Francisco Lindor	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	16	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Jackson Chourio win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Jackson Chourio	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	15	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Mookie Betts win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Mookie Betts	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	11	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Xander Bogaerts win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Xander Bogaerts	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Willy Adames win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Willy Adames	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Trea Turner win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Trea Turner	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie/Co-Winners win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Tie/Co-Winners	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Teoscar Hernández win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Teoscar Hernández	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Sal Frelick win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Sal Frelick	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Nick Castellanos win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Nick Castellanos	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Nolan Arenado win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Nolan Arenado	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Marcus Semien win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Marcus Semien	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Manny Machado win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Manny Machado	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Michael Harris II win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Michael Harris II	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Matt Chapman win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Matt Chapman	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Michael Busch win NL Hank Aaron Award? · Michael Busch	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10	Dec 08, 15:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 51 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.