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Pro Baseball Executive of the Year on Kalshi
If Zack Minasian wins the Pro Baseball Executive of the Year Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 31 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chris Getz win Executive of the Year? · Chris Getz | 86¢ | 86% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 11,027 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Erik Neander win Executive of the Year? · Erik Neander | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 3,550 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Craig Breslow win Executive of the Year? · Craig Breslow | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 3,165 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Matt Arnold win Executive of the Year? · Matt Arnold | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 3,149 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ben Cherington win Executive of the Year? · Ben Cherington | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 1,821 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alex Anthopoulos win Executive of the Year? · Alex Anthopoulos | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 795 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Hazen win Executive of the Year? · Mike Hazen | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 330 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will A. J. Preller win Executive of the Year? · A. J. Preller | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 293 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will J. J. Picollo win Executive of the Year? · J. J. Picollo | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 236 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Perry Minasian win Executive of the Year? · Perry Minasian | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 204 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brandon Gomes win Executive of the Year? · Brandon Gomes | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 193 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Chernoff win Executive of the Year? · Mike Chernoff | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 78 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dana Brown win Executive of the Year? · Dana Brown | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 78 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ross Fenstermaker win Executive of the Year? · Ross Fenstermaker | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 67 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ross Atkins win Executive of the Year? · Ross Atkins | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 46 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will David Forst win Executive of the Year? · David Forst | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 28 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Elias win Executive of the Year? · Mike Elias | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 17 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win Executive of the Year? · Tie/Co-Winners | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 10 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carter Hawkins win Executive of the Year? · Carter Hawkins | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 6 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brad Meador win Executive of the Year? · Brad Meador | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Girsch win Executive of the Year? · Mike Girsch | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Byrnes win Executive of the Year? · Josh Byrnes | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brian Cashman win Executive of the Year? · Brian Cashman | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Anirudh Kilambi win Executive of the Year? · Anirudh Kilambi | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zack Minasian win Executive of the Year? · Zack Minasian | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Preston Mattingly win Executive of the Year? · Preston Mattingly | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeremy Zoll win Executive of the Year? · Jeremy Zoll | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Justin Hollander win Executive of the Year? · Justin Hollander | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeff Greenberg win Executive of the Year? · Jeff Greenberg | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gabe Kapler win Executive of the Year? · Gabe Kapler | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will David Stearns win Executive of the Year? · David Stearns | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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