Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Pro Baseball American League MVP on Kalshi
If Cam Schlittler wins the Pro Baseball American League MVP in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 49 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Junior Caminero win AL MVP? · Junior Caminero | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 804,746 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Yordan Álvarez win AL MVP? · Yordan Álvarez | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 647,547 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bobby Witt Jr. win AL MVP? · Bobby Witt Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 506,768 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ben Rice win AL MVP? · Ben Rice | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 503,328 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cam Schlittler win AL MVP? · Cam Schlittler | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 406,953 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nick Kurtz win AL MVP? · Nick Kurtz | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 372,067 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aaron Judge win AL MVP? · Aaron Judge | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 272,666 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Julio Rodríguez win AL MVP? · Julio Rodríguez | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 267,282 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dillon Dingler win AL MVP · Dillon Dingler | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 227,569 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mike Trout win AL MVP? · Mike Trout | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 220,949 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will José Ramírez win AL MVP? · José Ramírez | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 205,601 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Byron Buxton win AL MVP? · Byron Buxton | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 132,132 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cody Bellinger win AL MVP? · Cody Bellinger | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 129,416 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Roman Anthony win AL MVP? · Roman Anthony | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 128,457 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Miguel Vargas win AL MVP · Miguel Vargas | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 73,637 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pete Alonso win AL MVP? · Pete Alonso | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 68,224 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gunnar Henderson win AL MVP? · Gunnar Henderson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 60,925 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Adley Rutschman win AL MVP? · Adley Rutschman | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 58,851 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wyatt Langford win AL MVP? · Wyatt Langford | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 52,964 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win AL MVP? · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 46,312 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Shea Langeliers win AL MVP · Shea Langeliers | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 43,677 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tarik Skubal win AL MVP? · Tarik Skubal | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 43,465 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Maikel García win AL MVP? · Maikel García | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 41,358 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ceddanne Rafaela win AL MVP? · Ceddanne Rafaela | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 40,153 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Yandy Diaz win AL MVP? · Yandy Diaz | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 27,105 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jarren Duran win AL MVP? · Jarren Duran | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 26,044 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cal Raleigh win AL MVP? · Cal Raleigh | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 23,482 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colson Montgomery win AL MVP? · Colson Montgomery | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 16,522 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Munetaka Murakami win AL MVP · Munetaka Murakami | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 15,062 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Corey Seager win AL MVP? · Corey Seager | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 12,604 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zach Neto win AL MVP? · Zach Neto | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,697 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jose Altuve win AL MVP? · Jose Altuve | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,410 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jo Adell win AL MVP? · Jo Adell | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,038 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Riley Greene win AL MVP? · Riley Greene | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,739 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win AL MVP? · Tie/Co-Winners | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,583 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Randy Arozarena win AL MVP? · Randy Arozarena | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,930 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Naylor win AL MVP? · Josh Naylor | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,697 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Garrett Crochet win AL MVP? · Garrett Crochet | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,534 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jackson Holliday win AL MVP? · Jackson Holliday | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,481 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jeremy Peña win AL MVP? · Jeremy Peña | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,237 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 49 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.