Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Venezuelan Winter League (LVBP) Champion on Kalshi
If Aguilas del Zulia wins the Venezuelan Winter League (LVBP) championship in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Venezuelan Winter League (LVBP).
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 11 Nov 2026 06:31 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuelan Winter League (LVBP) Champion: Aguilas del Zulia · Aguilas del Zulia | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Venezuelan Winter League (LVBP) Champion: Bravos de Margarita · Bravos de Margarita | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Venezuelan Winter League (LVBP) Champion: Navegantes de Magallanes · Navegantes de Magallanes | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Venezuelan Winter League (LVBP) Champion: Cardenales de Lara · Cardenales de Lara | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Venezuelan Winter League (LVBP) Champion: Tiburones De La Guaira · Tiburones De La Guaira | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Venezuelan Winter League (LVBP) Champion: Leones de Caracas · Leones de Caracas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Venezuelan Winter League (LVBP) Champion: Tigres de Aragua · Tigres de Aragua | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Venezuelan Winter League (LVBP) Champion: Caribes de Anzoategui · Caribes de Anzoategui | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.