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Mexican Pacific League on Kalshi
If Mayos de Navojoa wins the Mayos de Navojoa vs Charros de Jalisco Mexican Pacific League game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 at 8:30 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Flashscore, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
69%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 23:27 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
62% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 69¢ (now) | 1.5¢ | $1.09 | 70.5% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caneros de los Mochis wins · Caneros de los Mochis | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 159 | Nov 13, 02:30 UTC |
| Mayos de Navojoa wins · Mayos de Navojoa | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:30 UTC |
| Charros de Jalisco wins · Charros de Jalisco | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 0 | Nov 13, 01:30 UTC |
| Venados de Mazatlan wins · Venados de Mazatlan | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:30 UTC |
| Jaguares de Nayarit wins · Jaguares de Nayarit | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:30 UTC |
| Algodoneros de Guasave wins · Algodoneros de Guasave | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:30 UTC |
| Yaquis de Obregon wins · Yaquis de Obregon | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:30 UTC |
| Naranjeros de Hermosillo wins · Naranjeros de Hermosillo | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Nov 13, 02:30 UTC |
| Aguilas de Mexicali wins · Aguilas de Mexicali | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:30 UTC |
| Tomateros de Culiacan wins · Tomateros de Culiacan | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 13, 03:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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