Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Mexican Pacific League (LMP) Champion on Kalshi
If Yaquis de Obregon wins the Mexican Pacific League championship in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Liga Mexicana del Pacífico.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 11 Nov 2026 06:31 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexican Pacific League Champion: Yaquis de Obregon · Yaquis de Obregon | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Mexican Pacific League Champion: Jaguares de Nayarit · Jaguares de Nayarit | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Mexican Pacific League Champion: Mayos de Navojoa · Mayos de Navojoa | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Mexican Pacific League Champion: Aguilas de Mexicali · Aguilas de Mexicali | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Mexican Pacific League Champion: Caneros de los Mochis · Caneros de los Mochis | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Mexican Pacific League Champion: Venados de Mazatlan · Venados de Mazatlan | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Mexican Pacific League Champion: Naranjeros de Hermosillo · Naranjeros de Hermosillo | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Mexican Pacific League Champion: Algodoneros de Guasave · Algodoneros de Guasave | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Mexican Pacific League Champion: Tomateros de Culiacan · Tomateros de Culiacan | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Mexican Pacific League Champion: Charros de Jalisco · Charros de Jalisco | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.