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Liiga Game on Kalshi
If Lukko Rauma wins the KalPa Kuopio vs Lukko Rauma professional Finland Liiga hockey game originally scheduled for Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Liiga, Flashscore, Sofascore.
Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
97% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 52¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.68 | 53.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oulun Karpat wins · Oulun Karpat | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 60 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| Tampereen Ilves wins · Tampereen Ilves | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 1 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| Lukko Rauma wins · Lukko Rauma | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| KalPa Kuopio wins · KalPa Kuopio | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| JYP Jyvaskyla wins · JYP Jyvaskyla | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| Vaasan Sport wins · Vaasan Sport | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| Kiekko-Espoo wins · Kiekko-Espoo | 67¢ | 67% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| Porin Assat wins · Porin Assat | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| Mikkelin Jukurit wins · Mikkelin Jukurit | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| Lahti Pelicans wins · Lahti Pelicans | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| Jokerit Helsinki wins · Jokerit Helsinki | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| HIFK Helsinki wins · HIFK Helsinki | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.