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Ligue 1 Leader on Kalshi
If Yann Gboho leads Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fox Sports, Sky Sports, NBC Sports, ESPN, CBS Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 22 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 47¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.86 | 48.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Esteban Lepaul lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Esteban Lepaul | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 6 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Yann Gboho lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Yann Gboho | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Santiago Hidalgo lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Santiago Hidalgo | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Sofiane Diop lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Sofiane Diop | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Remy Labeau Lascary lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Remy Labeau Lascary | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Pavel Sulc lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Pavel Sulc | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Olivier Giroud lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Olivier Giroud | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Odsonne Edouard lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Odsonne Edouard | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Ousmane Dembele lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Ousmane Dembele | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Martial Godo lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Martial Godo | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Mika Biereth lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Mika Biereth | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Lassine Sinayoko lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Lassine Sinayoko | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Lois Openda lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Lois Openda | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Ludovic Ajorque lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Ludovic Ajorque | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Joaquin Panichelli lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Joaquin Panichelli | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Issa Soumare lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Issa Soumare | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Folarin Balogun lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Folarin Balogun | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Desire Doue lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Desire Doue | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Ciro Immobile lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Ciro Immobile | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Amine Gouiri lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Amine Gouiri | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Ansu Fati lead Ligue 1 in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Ansu Fati | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Jun 06, 02:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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