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Dominican Winter League (LIDOM) on Kalshi
If Gigantes del Cibao wins the Aguilas Cibaenas vs Gigantes del Cibao Dominican Winter League (LIDOM) game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 at 6:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Dominican Winter League (LIDOM).
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 23:27 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gigantes del Cibao wins · Gigantes del Cibao | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 23:00 UTC |
| Aguilas Cibaenas wins · Aguilas Cibaenas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 23:00 UTC |
| Gigantes del Cibao wins · Gigantes del Cibao | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:30 UTC |
| Estrellas Orientales wins · Estrellas Orientales | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:30 UTC |
| Tigres del Licey wins · Tigres del Licey | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:30 UTC |
| Aguilas Cibaenas wins · Aguilas Cibaenas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:30 UTC |
| Toros del Este wins · Toros del Este | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:15 UTC |
| Leones del Escogido wins · Leones del Escogido | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:15 UTC |
| Tigres del Licey wins · Tigres del Licey | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:30 UTC |
| Gigantes del Cibao wins · Gigantes del Cibao | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:30 UTC |
| Estrellas Orientales wins · Estrellas Orientales | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:30 UTC |
| Leones del Escogido wins · Leones del Escogido | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:30 UTC |
| Toros del Este wins · Toros del Este | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:30 UTC |
| Aguilas Cibaenas wins · Aguilas Cibaenas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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