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NFL Sacks Leader on Kalshi
If Carl Granderson leads Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 29 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Myles Garrett lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Myles Garrett | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 16,906 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Will Anderson Jr. lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Will Anderson Jr. | 26¢ | 26% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 7,263 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Aidan Hutchinson lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Aidan Hutchinson | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 5,061 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Khalil Mack lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Khalil Mack | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,222 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will T.J. Watt lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · T.J. Watt | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 3,730 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Quinnen Williams lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Quinnen Williams | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,512 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Maxx Crosby lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Maxx Crosby | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,184 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Danielle Hunter lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Danielle Hunter | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,602 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Sweat lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Josh Sweat | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,585 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nik Bonitto lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Nik Bonitto | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 2,343 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rashan Gary lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Rashan Gary | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,036 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chase Young lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Chase Young | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 1,922 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jonathan Greenard lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Jonathan Greenard | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,784 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Brian Burns lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Brian Burns | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,712 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nick Bosa lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Nick Bosa | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,657 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Micah Parsons lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Micah Parsons | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,297 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Trey Hendrickson lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Trey Hendrickson | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,190 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Byron Young lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Byron Young | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 1,184 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tuli Tuipulotu lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Tuli Tuipulotu | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,093 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alex Highsmith lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Alex Highsmith | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,006 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Greg Rousseau lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Greg Rousseau | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 647 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Will McDonald IV lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Will McDonald IV | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 567 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas Turner lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Dallas Turner | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 499 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will David Bailey lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · David Bailey | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 399 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Boye Mafe lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Boye Mafe | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 200 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carl Granderson lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Carl Granderson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 128 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Elijah Ponder lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Elijah Ponder | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 100 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jacob Martin lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Jacob Martin | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 100 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Andrew Van Ginkel lead Pro Football in Sacks for the 2026-2027 Regular Season? · Andrew Van Ginkel | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 100 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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