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Puerto Rican Winter League (LBPRC) on Kalshi
If Leones de Ponce wins the Leones de Ponce vs Indios de Mayaguez Puerto Rican Winter League (LBPRC) game originally scheduled for Nov 11, 2026 at 6:21 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Puerto Rican Winter League.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 23:27 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leones de Ponce wins · Leones de Ponce | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:21 UTC |
| Indios de Mayaguez wins · Indios de Mayaguez | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:21 UTC |
| Gigantes de Carolina wins · Gigantes de Carolina | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:21 UTC |
| Criollos de Caguas wins · Criollos de Caguas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:21 UTC |
| Senadores de San Juan wins · Senadores de San Juan | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:21 UTC |
| Cangrejeros de Santurce wins · Cangrejeros de Santurce | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 23:21 UTC |
| Senadores de San Juan wins · Senadores de San Juan | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:00 UTC |
| Cangrejeros de Santurce wins · Cangrejeros de Santurce | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:00 UTC |
| Leones de Ponce wins · Leones de Ponce | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:00 UTC |
| Indios de Mayaguez wins · Indios de Mayaguez | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:00 UTC |
| Gigantes de Carolina wins · Gigantes de Carolina | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:00 UTC |
| Criollos de Caguas wins · Criollos de Caguas | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 23:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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