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Puerto Rican Winter League (LBPRC) Champion on Kalshi
If Senadores de San Juan wins the Puerto Rican Winter League (LBPRC) championship in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Puerto Rican Winter League.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 6 open contracts, 11 Nov 2026 06:31 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puerto Rican Winter League (LBPRC) Champion: Senadores de San Juan · Senadores de San Juan | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Puerto Rican Winter League (LBPRC) Champion: Cangrejeros de Santurce · Cangrejeros de Santurce | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Puerto Rican Winter League (LBPRC) Champion: Leones de Ponce · Leones de Ponce | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Puerto Rican Winter League (LBPRC) Champion: Indios de Mayaguez · Indios de Mayaguez | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Puerto Rican Winter League (LBPRC) Champion: Gigantes de Carolina · Gigantes de Carolina | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
| Puerto Rican Winter League (LBPRC) Champion: Criollos de Caguas · Criollos de Caguas | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Feb 08, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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