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LA LIGA on Kalshi
If Malaga is the 2026-27 La Liga champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga? · Real Madrid | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 641,102 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga? · Barcelona | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 277,530 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? · Atletico Madrid | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 276,169 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Betis win La Liga? · Betis | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 70,208 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Deportivo De La Coruna win La Liga? · Deportivo De La Coruna | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 23,136 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Alaves win La Liga? · Alaves | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,093 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga? · Athletic Bilbao | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,169 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Real Sociedad win La Liga? · Real Sociedad | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,206 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Sevilla win La Liga? · Sevilla | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,098 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Espanyol win La Liga? · Espanyol | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,813 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Malaga win the La Liga? · Malaga | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,338 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Villarreal win La Liga? · Villarreal | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,559 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Getafe win La Liga? · Getafe | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 561 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Osasuna win La Liga? · Osasuna | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 469 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Celta Vigo win La Liga? · Celta Vigo | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 263 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Rayo Vallecano win La Liga? · Rayo Vallecano | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 248 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Valencia win La Liga? · Valencia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 191 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Elche win La Liga? · Elche | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 187 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Levante win La Liga? · Levante | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 85 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Racing Santander win La Liga? · Racing Santander | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2 | Jun 07, 02:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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