What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 28¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.52.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 29% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 28%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Indianapolis Democratic mayoral primary winner? on Kalshi

If Vop Osili wins the 2027 Indianapolis Democratic mayoral primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Marion County Election Board.

Market says (typical open contract)

28%

Median YES price across 4 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

56% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
28¢ (now)	1.4¢	$2.52	29.4%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Who will win the 2027 Indianapolis Democratic mayoral primary? · Vop Osili	31¢	31%	1.5¢	—	62%	May 03, 14:00 UTC
Who will win the 2027 Indianapolis Democratic mayoral primary? · Joe Hogsett	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	30%	May 03, 14:00 UTC
Who will win the 2027 Indianapolis Democratic mayoral primary? · David Bride	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	May 03, 14:00 UTC
Who will win the 2027 Indianapolis Democratic mayoral primary? · Andrea Hunley	28¢	28%	1.4¢	—	56%	May 03, 14:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.