What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.50.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 0% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Voter turnout in the national House popular vote? on Kalshi

If the total vote count in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections is 89,999,999 and below, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the relevant election commission of the country in which <election> takes place.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

0% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be at least 125 million? · 125 million and above	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	94,038	Nov 03, 15:00 UTC
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 115 and 119.99 million? · 115 to 119.99 million	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	63,213	Nov 03, 15:00 UTC
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 120 and 124.99 million? · 120 to 124.99 million	83¢	83%	1.0¢	—	34%	52,895	Nov 03, 15:00 UTC
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be less than 90 million? · Less than 90 million	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	31,753	Nov 03, 15:00 UTC
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 90 and 94.99 million? · 90 to 94.99 million	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	22,377	Nov 03, 15:00 UTC
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 110 and 114.99 million? · 110 to 114.99 million	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	21,999	Nov 03, 15:00 UTC
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 95 and 99.99 million? · 95 to 99.99 million	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	18,456	Nov 03, 15:00 UTC
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 105 and 109.99 million? · 105 to 109.99 million	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	16,220	Nov 03, 15:00 UTC
Will the total 2026 U.S. House turnout be between 100 and 104.99 million? · 100 to 104.99 million	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	16,110	Nov 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.