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Heisman Trophy Winner on Kalshi

If DeSean Bishop wins the College Football Heisman Trophy in the 2026-2027 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN.

Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 51 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Malachi Toney0¢0%0.0¢—1%3,265,068Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Jeremiah Smith26¢26%1.3¢—51%2,958,114Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Darian Mensah28¢28%1.4¢—55%2,541,946Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Trinidad Chambliss0¢0%0.0¢—1%2,245,012Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Keelon Russell4¢4%0.2¢—7%1,975,760Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Kamario Taylor0¢0%0.0¢—1%1,871,507Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · CJ Carr27¢27%1.4¢—54%1,797,856Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Devon Dampier6¢6%0.4¢—13%1,769,445Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Sam Leavitt0¢0%0.0¢—1%1,684,608Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Bear Bachmeier0¢0%0.0¢—1%1,610,074Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Drew Mestemaker4¢4%0.3¢—9%1,591,611Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Arch Manning0¢0%0.0¢—1%1,524,816Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Jadan Baugh0¢0%0.0¢—1%1,458,090Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Gunner Stockton4¢4%0.3¢—9%1,343,365Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Jayden Maiava0¢0%0.0¢—1%1,274,431Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · LaNorris Sellers2¢2%0.2¢—5%1,249,900Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Kevin Jennings0¢0%0.0¢—1%1,184,293Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Julian Sayin0¢0%0.0¢—1%1,154,854Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Josh Hoover0¢0%0.0¢—1%1,121,793Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Dante Moore0¢0%0.0¢—1%964,362Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · John Mateer0¢0%0.0¢—1%899,071Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Faizon Brandon0¢0%0.0¢—1%753,847Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Jesse Legree0¢0%0.0¢—1%749,084Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Lincoln Kienholz0¢0%0.0¢—1%717,710Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Rocco Becht0¢0%0.0¢—1%534,989Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Conner Weigman0¢0%0.0¢—1%499,141Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Marcel Reed0¢0%0.0¢—1%425,507Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Bryce Underwood0¢0%0.0¢—1%419,503Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele0¢0%0.0¢—1%393,060Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Byrum Brown0¢0%0.0¢—1%355,143Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Austin Simmons0¢0%0.0¢—1%305,387Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Kewan Lacy0¢0%0.0¢—1%248,575Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Ahmad Hardy0¢0%0.0¢—1%221,424Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Brendan Sorsby0¢0%0.0¢—1%211,198Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Wayne Knight0¢0%0.0¢—1%158,031Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Will Hammond0¢0%0.0¢—1%148,281Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Demond Williams Jr.0¢0%0.0¢—1%121,771Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Bo Jackson0¢0%0.0¢—1%85,350Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Anthony Colandrea0¢0%0.0¢—1%73,076Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Who will win Heisman Trophy? · Colin Simmons0¢0%0.0¢—1%70,302Jan 01, 15:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 51 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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