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Grammy nominees for New Artist of the Year on Kalshi

If Underscores has been nominated for Best New Artist at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Recording Academy.

Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 77 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)0.2¢$3.403.2%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Ella Langley98¢98%0.1¢—3%17,230Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Ravyn Lenae2¢2%0.1¢—4%13,836Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · SIENNA SPIRO92¢92%0.5¢—15%13,248Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Geese80¢80%1.1¢—40%6,597Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · EsDeeKid3¢3%0.2¢—6%5,263Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Don Toliver69¢69%1.5¢—62%2,727Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Dominic Fike2¢2%0.1¢—3%2,690Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Jessie Murph6¢6%0.4¢—11%2,612Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Adéla13¢13%0.8¢—26%2,036Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Megan Moroney2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,725Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Slayyyter82¢82%1.1¢—37%1,709Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Zara Larsson2¢2%0.2¢—5%1,660Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Renee Rapp4¢4%0.2¢—7%1,600Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Dijon2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,496Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Bella Kay24¢24%1.3¢—47%1,329Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · BigXthaPlug4¢4%0.3¢—9%1,192Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · JADE6¢6%0.4¢—13%949Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Oklou2¢2%0.1¢—3%583Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · CMAT8¢8%0.5¢—17%427Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · SAILORR4¢4%0.3¢—9%337Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · The Last Dinner Party8¢8%0.5¢—16%327Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Malcolm Todd76¢76%1.3¢—48%325Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · The Beaches6¢6%0.4¢—13%324Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Audrey Hobert74¢74%1.4¢—53%316Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Absolutely2¢2%0.1¢—3%301Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Ninajirachi2¢2%0.2¢—5%288Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Loe Shimmy2¢2%0.2¢—5%228Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Jordan Ward2¢2%0.2¢—5%216Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Mk.gee6¢6%0.4¢—11%196Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Ken Carson12¢12%0.7¢—23%167Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Sasha Keable2¢2%0.2¢—5%114Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Role Model72¢72%1.4¢—57%111Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · PARTYOF250¢50%1.7¢—99%62Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Magdalena Bay4¢4%0.3¢—9%56Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Yazmin Lacey4¢4%0.3¢—8%47Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Model/Actriz2¢2%0.1¢—3%35Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Stella Lefty18¢18%1.1¢—37%31Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Sudan Archives4¢4%0.2¢—7%24Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Nami3¢3%0.2¢—7%22Nov 01, 15:00 UTC
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist? · Wednesday2¢2%0.2¢—5%18Nov 01, 15:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 77 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.