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Grammy nominees for Album of the Year on Kalshi
If Vie has been nominated for Album of the Year at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Recording Academy.
Market says (typical open contract)
19%
Median YES price across 28 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
38% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19¢ (now) | 1.1¢ | $2.83 | 20.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Dandelion | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 19,231 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · The Life of a Showgirl | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 14,305 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Arirang | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 11,535 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · The Great Divide | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 11,300 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · WOR$T GIRL IN AMERICA | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 10,241 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 6,555 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · petal | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 5,628 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Lux | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 5,418 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Confessions II | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 5,341 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Lost Weekend | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 5,081 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Cloud 9 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 4,805 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · The Art of Loving | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 4,740 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Iceman | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 4,220 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Daughter From Hell | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 2,755 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,562 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Octane | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 2,355 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · A*Pop | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 2,293 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · The Romantic | 75¢ | 75% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 2,234 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · The Boys of Dungeon Lane | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 915 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · West End Girl | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 664 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · This Music May Contain Hope | 77¢ | 77% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 337 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Oh Yeah? | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 305 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Middle of Nowhere | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 196 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · The Visitor | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 114 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Deadbeat | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 100 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Music, Fashion, Film | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 96 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Swag II | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 40 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
| 2026 Grammy nominees for Album of the Year? · Vie | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 5 | Nov 01, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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